a web based decision support application to determine the average outcome (good or bad) of a decision based on the range of possible outcomes selected. It plots a curve displaying the range of outcomes and their likelihood of occurring and highlights the decision result.

Adjust each value to reflect the Pessimistic, Middle and Optimistic outcomes for this decision.


Pessimistic outcome is -90
Adjust to the average value of the worst 20% of possible outcomes for this decision.


Middle outcome is 0
Adjust to the value of the middle outcome i.e. 50% better, 50% worse (Median).


Optimistic outcome is 90
Adjust to the average value of the best 20% of possible outcomes for this decision.

The Average Outcome is 0.

50% of outcomes for this decision will be above the average.

-100-80-60-40-200204060801000204060OutcomeLikelihood %
Outcome Likelihood %Average Outcome Likelihood %
-9010
-3630
050
050
3630
9010